Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005652 0.005976 0.006313 0.006688 0.007097 0.007528 0.008019
2026-01-04 0.005158 0.005637 0.006158 0.006769 0.007471 0.008256 0.009208
2026-01-11 0.004780 0.005336 0.005960 0.006717 0.007619 0.008671 0.010006
2026-01-18 0.004515 0.005126 0.005827 0.006703 0.007780 0.009079 0.010793
2026-01-25 0.004276 0.004920 0.005677 0.006643 0.007861 0.009376 0.011443
2026-02-01 0.004172 0.004866 0.005696 0.006780 0.008185 0.009984 0.012531
2026-02-08 0.004006 0.004722 0.005592 0.006750 0.008284 0.010299 0.013242
2026-02-15 0.003869 0.004606 0.005515 0.006745 0.008408 0.010646 0.014014
2026-02-22 0.003708 0.004449 0.005375 0.006647 0.008396 0.010799 0.014512
2026-03-01 0.003565 0.004310 0.005250 0.006559 0.008389 0.010953 0.015015
2026-03-08 0.003468 0.004224 0.005190 0.006553 0.008492 0.011266 0.015781
2026-03-15 0.003299 0.004038 0.004989 0.006344 0.008293 0.011120 0.015806
2026-03-22 0.003226 0.003977 0.004955 0.006366 0.008431 0.011489 0.016700
2026-03-29 0.003177 0.003946 0.004960 0.006442 0.008650 0.011996 0.017872
2026-04-05 0.003088 0.003857 0.004881 0.006394 0.008678 0.012202 0.018544
2026-04-12 0.003017 0.003791 0.004829 0.006381 0.008759 0.012496 0.019395
2026-04-19 0.002935 0.003707 0.004750 0.006325 0.008767 0.012668 0.020038
2026-04-26 0.002918 0.003711 0.004794 0.006452 0.009070 0.013349 0.021709
2026-05-03 0.002853 0.003646 0.004738 0.006425 0.009122 0.013606 0.022581
2026-05-10 0.002799 0.003594 0.004697 0.006419 0.009209 0.013926 0.023614
2026-05-17 0.002722 0.003507 0.004604 0.006328 0.009148 0.013979 0.024097
2026-05-24 0.002651 0.003428 0.004519 0.006247 0.009099 0.014050 0.024623
2026-05-31 0.002605 0.003384 0.004484 0.006241 0.009177 0.014357 0.025698